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The Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) recently hit a milestone by surpassing the 20,000 points mark. While there are various factors that contributed to this achievement, two significant factors stand out - inflation expectations and the commodities boom.

Inflation expectations have been rising globally, and Canada is no exception. This has led investors to look for asset classes that can help them hedge against inflation. The commodities sector, which includes industries like energy, mining, and agriculture, has historically been a strong performer during inflationary periods. As such, many investors have turned to commodities, which has driven up their prices and boosted the performance of the TSX.

The commodities boom has also been driven by several industry-specific factors. The COVID-19 pandemic caused supply chain disruptions, which led to a shortage of certain commodities, such as lumber and copper. Additionally, global efforts to reduce carbon emissions have increased demand for metals used in renewable energy infrastructure, such as lithium and nickel. These factors have all contributed to a surge in commodity prices and have helped the TSX hit its latest milestone.

Of course, the TSX's strong performance is not without risks. Rising inflation could lead to higher interest rates, which could hurt companies that have taken on a lot of debt. Additionally, the commodities sector is notoriously volatile, and there is always the risk of a sudden reversal in prices.

Despite these risks, the TSX's recent achievement is still worth noting. It is a testament to the strength of Canada's economy and the resilience of its industries. As we continue to navigate the post-pandemic world, it will be interesting to see how long this momentum can be sustained.

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